Election 2024 Live Updates: Poll puts Harris ahead of Trump in key state as candidates head for Pennsylvania, North Carolina

2 months ago 4

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump make their final pitches to voters today, as the race to the White House comes to an end in what polls suggest will be a photo finish.

Both candidates are intensifying their campaigns across key battleground states on Monday, as fallout continued from a shock Iowa poll that put the vice president ahead in a ruby red state.

The Democratic nominee is focusing her efforts on Pennsylvania, a pivotal state for her campaign, with rallies in Allentown, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. The latter two events will feature appearances from celebrity figures such as Lady Gaga and Oprah Winfrey. Katy Perry is also set to perform.

Several other Harris campaign events across all seven swing states are planned around the same time as the Pennsylvania rallies.

Trump, meanwhile, has scheduled a series of rallies throughout the day. He will begin with a morning rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, followed by events in Reading and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. His day will conclude with a late-night rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Follow Newsweek's live blog throughout the day for the latest updates.

05:57 AM EST

About that Iowa poll...

A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, conducted by esteemed pollster Ann Selzer and published on Saturday, revealed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the state.

It caused something of a polling earthquake; Iowa is considered a Republican stronghold, but Selzer has not been wrong in a presidential race since 2004.

Statistician Nate Silver called it "shocking," while praising Selzer's record of being right.

Trump called Selzer a "Trump hater." In 2016, when Selzer's final Iowa poll showed him leading former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by seven points—a prediction that closely matched the actual outcome—Trump praised her work.

Read More: Who Is Ann Selzer? Pollster's Record as Iowa Poll Shows Kamala Harris Ahead

05:40 AM EST

OPINION: US courts may face their ultimate test after Election Day

John Adams was the first president to live in the White House. His blessing is carved into the mantel of the State Dining Room. It reads: "I pray Heaven to bestow the best of Blessings on this House and all that shall hereafter inhabit it. May none but honest and wise Men ever rule under this roof."

Let's ask ourselves today, will a wise and honest man rule in the White House if we elect former President Donald Trump? Trump has been convicted of 34 felonies in addition to having been found to have committed rape, fraud, and insurrection. He is accused of making off with the nation's secrets and hiding them in his bathroom. In Georgia and Washington, DC, he is charged with trying to defraud the American people out of electing the president of their choice.

Trump's opponent, Kamala Harris, is our vice president, a former prosecutor, and a state attorney general. No hint of dishonesty has tarnished her, and she is pledged to the rule of law. Would Adams have preferred a deeply dishonorable man in the White House over an honorable woman?

Tuesday, Nov. 5, is America's stress test. Do we prize honesty? Are we dedicated to what former President George W. Bush described as "trust over cynicism, of community over chaos"?

Read More: U.S. Courts May Face Their Ultimate Test After Tuesday | Opinion

05:34 AM EST

Multiple empty seats at Trump's final Georgia rally

Trump Georgia
Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Atrium Health Amphitheater Sunday, Nov. 3, 2024, in Macon, Georgia. There were multiple empty seats at at least one point during Trump's speech. AP

There were multiple empty seats at Donald Trump's final rally in the crucial swing state of Georgia on Sunday, footage and photos show.

Rally attendance and crowd size have been major topics in the run-up to Tuesday's election.

During the presidential candidates' debate on TV on September 13, Vice President Kamala Harris said people leave Trump's events "out of exhaustion and boredom"—something the former president has pushed back on multiple times since.

Clips posted on X, formerly Twitter, showed several empty seats at the Atrium Health Amphitheater in the city of Macon, where Trump was speaking over the weekend.

Read More: Donald Trump Met With Multiple Empty Seats During Final Georgia Rally

05:29 AM EST

Bad news for Trump as women flock to Harris

In the final stretch of the election, analysis by Newsweek indicates a significant gender divide, with women voters showing a strong preference for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump, while men show a strong preference for the former president.

Newsweek looked at the national polls since October 28 that provide a breakdown of voting intention based on gender and found that on average, women break for Harris by eight points, while men break for Trump by 10 points. That amounts to an average gender gap of nine points.

According to Newsweek's analysis, polls show that on average, Harris has the support of 52 percent of female voters and 43 percent of male voters. Meanwhile, 53 percent of male voters back Trump compared to 44 percent of female voters.

Read More: Final Polls Reveal Trump Faces Huge Gender Gap as Women Flock to Harris

05:26 AM EST

Campaign tracker: Where are the candidates today?

🔵Vice President Kamala Harris is spending the day in Pennsylvania, with stops scheduled in Scranton, Allentown, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

🔴Former President Donald Trump is also making a stop in Pittsburgh, and Reading, Pennsylvania today, in between events in Raleigh, North Carolina and Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Collectively, those three battleground states make up 50 Electoral College votes.

What about the VP candidates?

Ohio Sen. JD Vance will be touring Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin today, and also has a stop in Atlanta as the Republican ticket tries to flip Georgia.

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz will be focused on the Midwest, with an event in his home state, as well as others in Wisconsin and Michigan.

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