The Week 10 NFL betting slate kicks off with a good matchup between AFC North rivals as the Cincinnati Bengals travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens.
Somehow, neither of these teams are leading the AFC North, as the Steelers are currently in first place, but this is a huge game for both Cincinnati and Baltimore.
The 4-5 Bengals are looking to get to .500 on the year, while the 6-3 Ravens are looking to keep pace with the 6-2 Steelers.
The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video, with the Ravens favored by 6.5 points. For this article, however, we are detailing the best player prop picks for Bengals vs. Ravens.
Diontae Johnson 25+ Rec. Yards (+125) Bet365
We are playing this one light, as this is not as data-focused as most of our plays.
There are admittedly not a ton of stats to back this up, as Johnson only played 30 percent of the snaps for his new team last weekend, and he did not receive a single target. That said, the Ravens blew out the Broncos, so there was no need to force the issue if they did not feel that he was healthy and comfortable with the playbook.
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Now that he been with the team for another week, the guess here is that the Ravens are going to make it a point to have him much more involved, similar to what we saw from the Chiefs and DeAndre Hopkins.
Not to the same scale, of course, as the Chiefs needed Hopkins to be somewhat of an alpha receiver after losing Rashee Rice, whereas the Ravens just acquired Johnson to bolster their WR corps. Either way, though, Baltimore is going to need to get Johnson involved.
So, in a game that could end up being a shootout, the guess is that the Ravens are going to make it a point to target Johnson, and 25 yards is an incredibly low number for him.
Diontae Johnson 25+ receiving yards (+125): 0.50 Units
Mark Andrews Anytime TD (+230) FanDuel
After an incredibly slow start to the season, where Andrews did not score a TD or even receive a single red-zone target in first five games -- including two games in which he did not have a single reception -- things have turned around for the veteran tight end.
He has scored four touchdowns in the past four games, including at least one touchdown in three of his last four games. The Ravens' Week 9 romp over Denver marked his only game in that stretch without a TD.
Early this season, he was so valuable as a blocker that the Ravens mostly kept him in to do that, but that has changed over the past five games.
Since Week 5, Andrews has the second-most receptions on the Ravens, with the second-most targets per route run as well. In this stretch, he also has the third-highest route participation on the Ravens, only behind Rashod Bateman and Zay Flowers.
In terms of the red zone, he had 0 targets inside the 20 in the first four games of the season, but has a total of six in his team's last five games.
This is also a plus matchup for tight ends against the Bengals, as was the case last year.
Since Week 3 this year, the Bengals have allowed the third-most receiving yards to tight ends along with the third-most receptions, and they have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to TEs as well. Andrews scores on Thursday.
Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown (+230): 0.50 Units
Joe Burrow o265.5 Pass. Yards (-110) Bet365
We have been on this basically the entire season, as QBs have been passing for a ton of yards against the Ravens this season, and that has been by design.
The Ravens are a pass funnel that opposing offenses just cannot run on, but they can be had through the air. They have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game on the lowest yards per attempt in the NFL.
Furthermore, they have allowed the lowest yards after contact per attempt along with the third-lowest adjusted yards before contact per attempt.
But the Ravens have allowed the most passing yards per game, by a wide margin. They have allowed an average of 301.8 passing yards per game, with the next-closest team at 275.3 per game. That is a remarkable gap.
Every single QB except for one has hit their passing yards prop against the Ravens this year.
That includes Joe Burrow in this exact matchup earlier this season, when he threw for 392 yards in his team's Week 5 overtime loss to Baltimore at home.
The Bengals have the highest neutral pass rate in the NFL, along with the highest first-half passing rate as well.
This is going to be a game where the Bengals are going to need to pass a ton to keep up with the Ravens, and the guess is they are going to have success doing so.
Joe Burrow o265.5 passing yards (-110): 1 Unit
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