Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off with a Bengals-Ravens matchup that is fascinating on several fronts.
This one has high stakes for both the AFC North division race and conference playoff picture. At 4-5, the Bengals are nearly in must-win territory, while the 6-3 Ravens have a slight gap to close on the 6-2 Steelers to improve their playoff seeding.
Additionally, both of these teams feature several stars playing massive roles in fantasy football, daily fantasy, etc.
In this piece, we're locking in on our favorite Anytime Touchdown (ATTD) plays in a game full of intriguing options in that market.
We've got multiple ATTD plays we recommend, and we could have thrown out even more after these two teams combined for 10 TDs (!) and 79 points when they squared off in Week 5 in an overtime thriller that Baltimore won 41-38.
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Ja'Marr Chase Anytime TD (-120) bet365
We're not going out on a limb on our first Bengals vs. Ravens ATTD pick.
Given what Chase did against Baltimore in Week 5 (10 catches, 193 yards, 2 TDs) -- and the fact he's caught an NFL-best seven TDs on the year despite not catching a touchdown until Week 3 -- it's a pleasant surprise that his ATTD prop is available at -120.
Chase has seven TDs in the last seven weeks, with two-touchdown days in Week 3 (vs. Washington) and Week 5 (in his aforementioned explosion against the Ravens) making up for TD-less showings in Weeks 6 and 9. So yeah, we like our chances of this one cashing, and we love them at this price.
The Robin to Chase's Batman, Tee Higgins is listed as doubtful for this game, which bodes well for Chase, even though six of his touchdowns this year have come in the five games when both were active.
With Higgins sidelined the last two weeks, Chase totaled 22 targets from Joe Burrow, which he converted into 16 catches for 97 yards and one touchdown.
While a combination of double coverage and extra safety help by Philadelphia and the Raiders the last two weeks kept a lid on Chase (his longest reception over the past two weeks covered just 13 yards), Burrow has shown that he will feed Chase even when he's dealing with extra defensive attention in Higgins' absence.
With double-digit targets for Chase likely in a game with an over/under set at 53.5 (DraftKings), the Cincinnati star WR offers a ton of value to find the end zone and pad his cushion atop the NFL's receiving TD leader board.
Ja'Marr Chase Anytime TD (-120): 1 unit
Zay Flowers Anytime TD (+135) FanDuel
Flowers finished his rookie season as Lamar Jackson's top target. In Year 2, he has already blossomed into one of the top weapons not only in Baltimore, but across the entire league.
Flowers currently ranks:
- 5th in the NFL in receiving yards (654)
- 14th in receptions (46)
- 12th in targets (67)
- 8th in yards after the catch (314)
- 8th in receptions for a first down (30)
He's done all that in a run-heavy offense, with Jackson just 15th in the NFL in passing attempts. Less than 30 games into his career, there's nothing the 5-foot-9 speedster can't do. Crucially, for his ATTD prospects, he's been an effective red zone weapon at times, with five touchdowns in his last seven games last year (including the playoffs).
Last Sunday, against a good Denver D, Flowers caught his second and third touchdowns of the year. While his total of three on the season is not exactly eye-popping, now is a good time to target him against a Bengals defense that Jackson torched for 348 yards and four touchdowns back on October 6.
In that game, three of Jackson's passing TDs went to tight ends Isaiah Likely and Charlie Kolar. Still, if tonight's game is the shootout we expect it to be, Flowers is a great bet to make it two games in a row with at least one TD.
Zay Flowers Anytime TD (+135): 0.75 units
Derrick Henry 2+ TDs (+200 DraftKings)
The case for Henry -- who has scored 13 TDs (11 rushing, two receiving) -- finding the end zone is obvious. The bad news is that when a guy has scored in every game, he offers little ATTD value. Lock or not, Henry (or anyone) at -250 or shorter is not hard to resist.
There are nevertheless tempting ways to bank on him continuing to dominate near the goal line. Betting on him to score twice is a longshot, but it's something he's pulled off three times already this season, including twice in the last four weeks (against Washington on October 13 and vs. Denver last Sunday).
If a big payout is what you're after, the case for Henry double-dipping is stronger than it is for a longshot on either offense to score just once.
We don't suggest a heavy investment here, but given the way Henry is rolling (and the likelihood the Ravens get into the red zone quite a few times tonight against a Cincy D allowing 25.2 points per game), his 2+ TD prop is well worth a sprinkle.
Derrick Henry 2+ TDs (+200): 0.25 units
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