NFL MNF Week 7 Touchdown Props: Best Bets for BAL vs. TB, LAC vs. ARI

2 months ago 15
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Expert analysis on the best NFL Anytime Touchdown bets for Week 7's MNF doubleheader, including thoughts on Ravens WR Zay Flowers. Kara Durrette/Getty Images

We're back with another look at the best Anytime TD bets for NFL Week 7 ahead of tonight's Ravens-Bucs and Chargers-Cardinals doubleheader.

We've got plays for both the Baltimore-Tampa Bay game at 8:15 p.m. ET and L.A.-Arizona matchup at 9 p.m. ET.

The Ravens and Bucs both offer plenty of tempting options, but we like the price on Baltimore WR Zay Flowers, and we're also keeping an eye on Chargers RB J.K. Dobbins after his 25-carry afternoon against Denver in Week 6.

Zay Flowers Anytime TD (+155) FanDuel

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:15 p.m. ET

Just shy of the midway point of his second season in the league, Flowers has established himself as Lamar Jackson's clear top target. Flowers has 48 targets on the year -- nearly double Baltimore's No. 2 receiver in that department (Rashod Bateman, with 26) -- and his 33 receptions are easily the most of anyone on this offense.

The former Boston College star was impactful throughout his rookie year in 2023, and he became a key red zone option for Jackson down the stretch. Flowers recorded five TD grabs in his team's last seven games last year, including two playoff contests.

He hasn't been a fixture of the Ravens' offense near the goal line this year (his only touchdown came back in Week 2), but he is coming off two monster games in which this offense appeared to kick into another gear.

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Against the Bengals and Commanders the last two weeks, Flowers drew a total of 21 targets, and he turned those opportunities into 16 catches for 243 yards.

Scoring opportunities have been hard to come by for not just Flowers, but all of the Ravens receivers, because of how automatic RB Derrick Henry (eight TDs in six weeks -- see more on Henry below!) has been near the goal line.

As the season goes on, Henry will remain a focal point of the red zone offense, but he should also serve as an excellent decoy as defenses lock in on the big former Titan.

We expect Henry's early-season success to make it easy for Flowers and the Baltimore receivers to start getting open in the end zone, and we expect Flowers' heavy involvement (8 targets per game this year) in this offense to include some red zone work and a TD grab tonight.

Zay Flowers Anytime TD (+155): 0.5 units

*Derrick Henry 2+ TDs (+265) DraftKings

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:15 p.m. ET

*We're going with Henry to find the end zone not once, but twice.

Unless you've been under a rock for the past six weeks, you've heard about the damage that Henry, one of the current favorites to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year, has done in the red zone this season.

But to review, Henry has eight touchdowns in six games, with at least one in every contest. That's why he's -200 or shorter across the board to score. At those odds, he's not hard to resist, even if you like his chances of scoring at least one TD.

Henry is, however, worth a look to score more than one touchdown, which he's already done twice this year, including in Week 6 against Washington and in Week 3 against Dallas.

Alongside an outstanding running threat like Jackson, Henry is going to continue to get a higher volume of favorable red-zone opportunities than any player in the league, and given the payout here, the question is whether to put down a quarter-unit or a half-unit on Henry finding paydirt two or more times.

Derrick Henry 2+ TDs (+265): 0.25 Units

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About the writer

Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett is a longtime sportswriter who turned his attention to sports betting back in 2019. He has been breaking ... Read more

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