There is a lot of intrigue around this Sunday Night Football game, with the surging Eagles, currently on a six-game winning streak, taking on the Rams, who have won four of their last five after a 1-4 start.
Despite being on the road in this one, the Eagles are still favored by about 3 points at most sportsbooks.
Kick off is set for 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC, and this article will focus on the best player prop picks for Eagles vs. Rams.
Dallas Goedert o42.5 Rec. Yards (-110) bet365
With Eagles WR DeVonta Smith unavailable due to a hamstring injury, backing Dallas Goedert is one of our favorite plays of the night.
This is a situation where looking at the season-long stats for Goedert does not tell the full story, because his role is different when the Eagles have their full complement of weapons healthy, which includes Smith and A.J. Brown.
On the season, Goedert has only gone over 42.5 receiving yards in three games, but two of those three games were the only times this season in which the Eagles were missing one of Brown or Smith.
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In those three games, Goedert averaged 90 receiving yards per game, eclipsing the 42.5 number in two of the three. He averaged 7.7 targets and 6.7 receptions in those three games as well.
With both Smith and Brown in the lineup, Goedert has averaged a lowly 3.5 targets and 2.8 receptions per game. So, it is a dramatic difference for Goedert when Philly is missing one of its stud receivers.
Along with the increased usage for Goedert, this is a plus matchup against the Rams defense.
On the season, the Rams have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to tight ends at 62.3 receiving yards per game. Since Week 5, however, that number has gone up to 69.3 receiving yards per game allowed.
Overall, eight of the last nine TEs against the Rams have gone over their receiving yards prop.
Last season when the Eagles took on the Rams with both WRs healthy, Goedert went off for eight receptions for 117 yards on nine targets. It would not be a complete surprise to see something similar on Sunday night.
Dallas Goedert over 42.5 receiving yards (-110): 1 Unit
K. Williams o75.5 Rush. Yards (-115) Fanatics
This one definitely feels scary, as the Eagles run defense, and defense in general, has been phenomenal over the past six weeks. In this stretch, the Eagles have allowed the second-fewest RB rushing yards per game on the seventh-lowest yards per carry.
However, there are reasons to believe that Williams will be able to have a successful game on the ground on Sunday.
For starters, we can rely on Williams getting pretty much the entirety of the running back snaps in this game. Williams has averaged 87.9 percent of the snaps on the season, and he has played under 80 percent of the snaps just twice.
His snap rate is the second-highest in the entire NFL, with only Christian McCaffrey ahead of him, and McCaffrey has only played in two games this season. Williams also has the highest percent of his team's RB rush attempts in the league.
So, due to that high snap volume and RB attempt rate, Williams has the fourth-most RB rush attempts in the NFL at 19.1 attempts per game.
As good as the Eagles defense has been on the whole, they have been somewhat leaky recently. In their last two games, three of the four RBs that had a rushing prop hit their over.
For context, only one RB in this stretch hit their rush attempt prop, so, generally, teams were more successful running the ball than the books were expecting in the Eagles' last two games.
As much as the Rams love to air it out, they still make sure to stay balanced with their rushing attack. Williams' rushing attempt prop is set at 17.5, and he has gone over that number in seven of 10 games this season.
With the Eagles offense being plagued by slow starts for most of the season (they have only scored points on their first drive once this season), the guess here is that the Rams are able to lean on the run game throughout and have enough success doing so to cash the over for Kyren Williams.
Kyren Williams over 75.5 rushing yards (-115): 1 Unit
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