Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in the swing state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll from Monmouth University.
The two candidates are in a dead heat in the Keystone State, which has been the focus of both their campaigns today. The poll found that exactly 42 percent of likely voters were preparing to vote for each candidate, while a further 5 percent said they would "probably" vote for each candidate.
Fifty percent of respondents said they definitely would not vote for Kamala Harris, while 49 percent said the same about Donald Trump.
The poll shows a one-point decrease for Harris since Monmouth's last poll in September, while Trump's support has increased by two points. However, these changes are within the margin of error, with the report stating: "The current results represent statistically insignificant movement from Monmouth's Pennsylvania poll taken five weeks ago."
Trump retained his strong support with white voters without a college degree, with 60 percent of respondents in this group backing him over Harris' 35 percent.
Conversely, Harris has solidified her support among voters with a degree, which split 58-37 in her favor. Voters who are Black, Hispanic or from other minority backgrounds also broke heavily for Harris, with 62 percent of this group backing the Democratic candidate.
Newsweek contacted the Harris and Trump campaigns for comment on this story via email.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted from October 24-28, with a sample size of 824 Pennsylvanians, all of whom were registered voters.
With 19 Electoral College votes, Pennsylvania is the largest swing state this election and is widely predicted to be the tipping-point state, as it was in 2020.
While President Joe Biden won the state last election, Trump won it in 2016, so both candidates are looking to recreate the past in Pennsylvania.
For Harris, Pennsylvania is critical to her Midwestern strategy; in combination with the other swing states in the region, Michigan and Wisconsin, Pennsylvania gives her exactly 270 Electoral College votes once added to Nebraska's second district.
Trump, on the other hand, needs to siphon off at least one of those Midwestern states, and Pennsylvania seems like the most likely one to flip. With a higher proportion of white voters without a college degree, the state leans more toward Trump's base than the other two.
Combining with Georgia and North Carolina, Pennsylvania would give Trump his own path to exactly 270 Electoral College votes.
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