With less than three weeks until Election Day, former President Donald Trump made slight gains in three swing states he's looking to flip, according to new conservative polling data.
Early voting has already started in most states as the campaign season winds down ahead of November 5. Due to the nation's Electoral College system, the most important states to win are the so-called swing states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Trump, the GOP presidential nominee, and Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, are vying for voters in these states with mixed political ideologies.
Polls in these swing states have been razor thin, but according to new polling data, which are well within the polls' margins of error, Trump has inched ahead of Harris in Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia—three states Joe Biden won in the 2020 election.
A Napolitan News Service, a polling website, survey conducted by conservative pollster Scott Rasmussen from October 10 to 16 found Trump leading Harris by 1 point in Wisconsin (50 to 49 percent). According to a release about the poll from the Napolitan News Service, it was Harris with a 50 to 49 percent lead last month.
The poll surveyed 787 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
The Napolitan News Service also surveyed Michigan with the help of Rasmussen. The poll, also conducted between October 10 to 16, found Trump and Harris tied with 49 percent each. Political Polls, an account on X, formerly Twitter, that posts polling data, wrote on Sunday morning that the recent Michigan poll was a 1-point bump for the former president.
The poll surveyed 789 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Trump also has a 1-point lead over Harris in Georgia (49 to 48 percent), according to a poll conducted by TechnoMetrica for American Greatness, a conservative political commentary website, and pollster TIPP. This is also a one-point bump for the former president, according to Political Polls.
The poll was conducted from October 14 to 16 and surveyed 813 likely voters. It has a credibility interval, like a margin of error, of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters, which means "the study is accurate within this range 19 times out of 20 if all registered voters in Georgia had been surveyed," according to a release by American Greatness.
Meanwhile, Harris is leading Trump in a national poll conducted by Rasmussen for the Napolitan News Service. The vice president has a 50 to 49 percent edge over Trump in the poll conducted between October 14 and 16. The poll surveyed 2,950 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. This is a 1-point bump for Harris, according to Political Polls.
In an emailed statement to Newsweek on Sunday morning, Trump's campaign communications director Steven Cheung said: "President Trump is out working Kamala Harris, and voters know America can no longer survive under Kamala's destructive policies of soaring inflation, an out-of-control border, and rampant crime terrorizing every community."
Harris' campaign declined to comment on Sunday morning when Newsweek reached out.
What Do Other Polls Say?
Poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight, which estimates the candidates' polling averages by analyzing multiple polls, has Harris leading Trump as of Sunday morning by half a point in Michigan (47.6 to 47.1 percent), Trump ahead of Harris in Georgia by 2 points (48.9 to 46.9 percent) and the candidates tied in Wisconsin (47.8 percent).
FiveThirtyEight has Harris ahead of Trump nationally by 2 points (48.4 to 46.4 percent).
According to pollster Nate Silver's polling averages, Harris is ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump is leading in Georgia.
Harris is up by 0.4 points in Wisconsin with 48.5 percent of support compared to Trump's 48.1 percent and 0.9 points in Michigan (48.3 to 47.4 percent). Trump, meanwhile, is leading Harris by 1.4 points in Georgia (49 to 47.6 percent).
Sliver has Harris leading Trump by 2.3 points on the national stage (49.1 to 46.8 percent).
English (US) ·