Every Tuesday this NFL season, Newsweek sports betting writers Tyler Everett and Matt Modi are offering their early ATS bets on every game on the schedule.
We've got 16 games on tap in Week 8 -- that's right, no one's on the bye this week.
This week begins with Thursday night's intriguing Vikings-Rams battle, which will pit Minnesota head coach Kevin O'Connell against his former team. Prior to becoming head coach of the Vikings in 2022, O'Connell was Rams coach Sean McVay's offensive coordinator in 2020 and 2021.
Other notable matchups this weekend include the Cowboys' trip to San Francisco on Sunday Night Football, plus Atlanta-Tampa Bay in a key NFC South matchup and Buffalo vs. Seattle at Lumen Field.
Week 7, like Week 6 before it, didn't feature too many stunners. That helped Everett go 9-6 for a third consecutive above-.500 performance after a horrendous showing through four weeks.
*Modi sat out Week 7, hence the discrepancy in how many games these two have picked this year.
This is a tough spot for Minnesota on short rest after a close loss to the Lions at home, while the Rams are coming off a win over the Raiders. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back from its first defeat of the season in a hard-fought battle on TNF.
With the Rams getting healthier (Cooper Kupp makes his return this week), the guess here is that they are going to go on a mini-run. Meanwhile, the Vikings suffered their first loss of the season and will come out sluggish traveling to L.A. on a short week.
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Eagles at Bengals (-2.5) -- Sunday 1 p.m.
Everett: Bengals -2.5
The Eagles got Saquon Barkley going in a massive way in last Sunday's 28-3 win over the Giants. A dominant day on the ground was all Philly needed last Sunday, but Jalen Hurts will need to make plays in the passing game for his team to beat Cincinnati on the road. I'll take Joe Burrow and the Bengals to squeak out an entertaining win at home in this game.
Modi: Bengals -2.5
The Eagles defense hasn't allowed a touchdown in two straight weeks, but that was against Deshaun Watson and Daniel Jones. It is a different story going up against Joe Burrow and the Bengals, and the Eagles offense still has not scored a single point in the first quarter this season.
Ravens (-9) at Browns -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Ravens -9
With Jameis Winston at the helm, I'd have a hard time laying this many points with Baltimore on the road against a fired up division rival. But reports as of Tuesday indicate it will be Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center for Cleveland, so for now, I'm going with Baltimore to win big.
Modi: Browns +9
The Ravens are rolling, but with Deshaun Watson, the worst QB in the NFL, now out for the season, the Browns finally have a chance, and they keep this one competitive.
Titans at Lions (-11) -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Lions -11
Betting on favorites to cover a touchdown or more burned bettors over and over again early this season. The Titans, however, weren't competitive against Buffalo last Sunday, and this week's opponent has looked even better than the Bills so far this year.
Modi: Titans +11
This screams let-down spot for the Lions after back-to-back impressive victories. Two weeks ago, they demolished the Cowboys, and last week, they dealt the Vikings their first loss of the year. Now, they play an AFC opponent that stinks. This game stays close.
Cardinals at Dolphins (-3) -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Cardinals +3
With Tua Tagovailoa back at quarterback for Miami, we understand why this game is priced the way it is. But that doesn't mean we trust the Dolphins to win, much less cover a field goal, against the feisty, 3-4 Cardinals.
Have we forgotten that in two games this year with Tagovailoa, the Dolphins needed a comeback to beat the Jags 20-17 in Week 1, then trailed 31-10 against Buffalo when Tagovailoa went down in Week 2??
Modi: Dolphins -3
With Tua back, the Dolphins offense should look explosive again, especially going up against a bad Cardinals defense that was lucky to beat the Chargers last week.
Jets (-7) at Patriots -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Patriots +7
For all the talent on their roster, the Jets make too many mistakes to trust them to cover a touchdown or more on the road against anyone, even the 1-6 Patriots. The good news for New England is that Drake Maye looks the part, and we like him to keep the Pats in this game until the final whistle.
Modi: Jets -7
Neither of these teams inspire much confidence, but my general betting philosophy is to fade teams after their head coach calls them soft, which just happened with the Patriots.
Falcons (-2.5) at Buccaneers -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Falcons -2.5
Neither of these teams looked good in Week 7, as Atlanta was blown out by Seattle at home and Tampa Bay was whipped by the Ravens in Tampa on Monday. We'll go with the healthier team to win this NFC South battle, as injuries to WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are going to be a lot for the Bucs offense to overcome.
Modi: Falcons -2.5
It is hard to trust the Bucs missing their top two receivers, so the Falcons get the job done here.
Packers (-4.5) at Jaguars -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Packers -4.5
The Jags have won two of three after an 0-4 start, and the offense is coming off a good showing in London in Jacksonville's 32-16 win over the Patriots last Sunday. Jordan Love and the Packers are on a roll, though, and we like them to take care of business on the road for their fourth consecutive victory.
Modi: Packers -4.5
The Packers are not a super impressive 5-2, but the Jaguars are coming off a blowout of the Patriots, and now unfortunately have to play a real NFL team.
Colts at Texans (-6) -- Sunday, 1 p.m.
Everett: Texans -6
Anthony Richardson has now completed 50 percent of his passes or fewer in all four of his full-game appearances this year. So we'll take Houston, even though the 5-2 Texans have been inconsistent on offense so far this year.
Modi: Texans -6
The Texans offense struggles against quality defenses, but the Colts do not count as a quality defense. The Texans win this game in a blowout.
Saints at Chargers (-7) -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m.
Everett: Chargers -7
The Chargers' failure to score a touchdown last week against Arizona raised major questions about this team. But we don't expect Harbaugh's Chargers to play two bad games in a row, especially not at home against a Spencer Rattler-led Saints offense that is in shambles.
Modi: Chargers -7
It is hard to have any confidence in this pick without knowing the status of Derek Carr for the Saints, but, either way, they are in free fall and have lost five straight.
Bills (-3) at Seahawks -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m.
Everett: Seahawks +3
This is one of the few games this week that looks like a battle between two teams that are moving in the right direction. The Bills' deal for Amari Cooper appears to have given this offense a boost. In Seattle this Sunday, though, a Seahawks D that looked much better in Week 7 than it did in Weeks 5-6 thanks to the return of several key players will be enough for the underdogs to cover.
Modi: Bills -3
The Seahawks defense is fresh off a solid performance against Kirk Cousins and the Falcons, but we've seen them against quality offenses this year, and it has not been pretty. Now that the Bills have a real receiver, the guess here is that their offense is going to start to take off.
Panthers at Broncos (-9) -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m.
Everett: Broncos -9
At some point, pride should kick in for Carolina and help this team put together a respectable showing after three straight losses by a combined score of 114-37. But this isn't the week when we're banking on the Panthers to come alive, as they're on the road against one of the best defensive teams they've faced all year.
Modi: Broncos -9
The Panthers just got spanked by the Commanders without Jayden Daniels. Next.
Chiefs (-10) at Raiders -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m.
Everett: Raiders +10
Let me start by saying that no, I do not expect the Raiders to pull this out. But I can't lay nine points or more with every heavy favorite on the board, and the Chiefs lost their last matchup against Las Vegas back in Week 16 a year ago. KC will control this game in a low-scoring slugfest, but ultimately just barely fail to cover.
Modi: Raiders +10
The Chiefs might be undefeated, but it has not been impressive. The Raiders are not going to be mistaken for the 1985 Bears, but they are known to play the Chiefs tough. This one stays within one score.
Bears (-2.5) at Commanders -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m.
Everett: Bears -2.5
The Bears are the more complete team, and we like the Bears coming off a bye more than we like a Commanders team relying on a banged up rookie QB (or backup Marcus Mariota).
Modi: Bears -2.5
It looks as though Daniels is going to miss this game, so I'll ride with the Bears in an easy fade of Marcus Mariota.
Cowboys at 49ers (-4.5) -- Sunday, 8:20 p.m.
Everett: Cowboys +4.5
The 'Boys are coming off an embarrassing 47-9 loss to Detroit followed by a well-timed bye week. Dallas has struggled against San Francisco in recent years (and that's putting it lightly), but we'll take them to hang around against a San Francisco offense that is without several of its best weapons.
Modi: Cowboys +4.5
The 49ers are the Cowboys' kryptonite, and neither of these teams look like they are heading in the right direction, but I will ride with the Cowboys to at least keep this one within a field goal. Begrudgingly.
Giants at Steelers (-6.5) -- Monday, 8:15 p.m.
Everett: Steelers -6.5
The Steelers are too good defensively -- and too tough at home in front of what should be another raucous primetime crowd in the Steel City -- to doubt them in this spot.
Modi: Giants +6.5
It has been two absolutely gross performances in a row from the Giants, which makes this a great opportunity for them to play their one good game per month. The Steelers are also a ripe team to fade coming off the blowout performance against the Jets on primetime.
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